Volume 512 - XXXII International Workshop on Deep Inelastic Scattering and Related Subjects (DIS2025) - WG2: Small-x, Diffraction and Vector Mesons
Bayesian constraint of the initial condition for the Balitsky-Kovchegov equation at NLO
C. Casuga*, H. Hänninen and H. Mäntysaari
*: corresponding author
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Pre-published on: December 15, 2025
Published on: January 28, 2026
Abstract
We use Bayesian inference to constrain the parameters describing the initial amplitude input to the Balitsky-Kovchegov evolution equation at next-to-leading order accuracy against precise HERA total inclusive cross section and heavy quark data. The datasets are found to provide stringent constraints and, with consistent NLO treatment, a successful description of the data is obtained. The posterior distributions define the theoretical uncertainites that surround the non-perturbative initial condition and, thus, provide a way to propagate said uncertainties to CGC calculations at NLO.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22323/1.512.0042
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